China is quickly making moves to fill in
gaps left behind by the Trump administration’s abrupt moves to almost
entirely halt and wind down USAID operations worldwide, from the
Indo-Pacific to South America. | Roberto Schmidt/AFP via Getty Images
With help from Connor O’Brien, Nahal Toosi and Daniel Lippman
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If USAID is packing up and moving out, China seems all too happy to move in.
That’s the trend that longtime U.S. China watchers and aid workers are already noticing in the weeks since President DONALD TRUMP and his ally ELON MUSK moved to dismantle and shake up the U.S. Agency for International Development.
China
is quickly making moves to fill in gaps left behind by the Trump
administration’s abrupt moves to almost entirely halt and wind down
USAID operations worldwide, from the Indo-Pacific to South America.
In
Nepal, Chinese officials have reportedly signaled to the Nepalese
government that Beijing is willing to step in to replace USAID’s void
with development funding of its own, the Annapurna Express reports. Officials in the Cook Islands, a strategically important island chain in the Indo-Pacific, said they expect the withdrawal of USAID from the region to provide an opening for China.
In Colombia, which received around $385 million in USAID funding in
2024, non-governmental organizations that received USAID funding say the
Chinese government is interested in putting up money to help fill the void.
These
are early signs, but taken together, it has some analysts on both sides
of the political spectrum warning that USAID’s dismantlement will
undercut U.S. global competition with China in the long-run.
“China is already reaching out to partners,” said FRANCISCO BENCOSME,
who served as USAID’s China policy lead during the Biden
administration. “They will fill in the void in places like Cambodia and
Nepal, and those are just the places we know about..”
On the Republican side, MICHAEL SOBOLIK, a China analyst at the Hudson Institute think tank and a former aide to Sen. TED CRUZ
(R-Texas), said USAID helped offer an alternative to China for
developing countries looking to outside investors for infrastructure and
telecoms development. USAID also aided media outlets in Africa,
Southeast Asia and elsewhere where Chinese-controlled media outlets such
as Xinhua are ascendant, he noted.
“Sure, USAID was doing some
highly questionable stuff that’s worthy of review. But don’t throw the
baby out with the bathwater. Beijing is hoping we do exactly that,”
Sobolik said.
Democrats on the House Select China Committee, led by Rep. RAJA KRISHNAMOORTHI
(D-Ill.), have drawn up a new strategy to hammer the Trump
administration on how dismantling USAID will hand a win to Beijing,
according to a three-page document of talking points obtained by NatSec Daily.
“When
the Chinese Communist Party is aggressively investing abroad, rerouting
supply chains, and buying authoritarian favor through elite capture,
the United States must double down on USAID’s work, not stifle it,” the
document said.
But the GOP side of the committee isn’t stepping up
to defend the agency. Asked for comment by NatSec Daily, the committee
replied with a broad statement saying it “has full trust in Secretary
Rubio’s ability to effectively handle critical human rights and
development issues.”